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ECONTECH

Finding the Edges of Prediction Markets

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Will prediction markets go broader? Markets for everything? a16z's predictions for 2026 got me curious. Pulled spread and volume data across Polymarket, Kalshi, and crypto exchanges.

Short answer: we're already testing the limits.

Bid-ask spread vs 24-hour trading volume across cryptocurrency and prediction markets

Click the plot above to read the full analysis on Substack.

Read on Substack: Finding the Edges of Prediction Markets